Is 50 Too Old To Start Investing

Is 50 Too Old To Start Investing – Dividend Power Week In Review

Is 50 Years Too Old to Start Investing

Is 50 Years Too Old to Start Investing? Another FIRE blogger recently published a guest post on Dividend Power. The article was titled “Saving For Retirement As A Late Starter.” For many reasons, you may not start saving for retirement until your 40s or even 50. However, it is actually never too late to start saving for retirement and even if you are 50 years old it is never too late to start investing. You can still build wealth at 50. I say this because saving for retirement and investing are not exactly the same thing. They are related but saving for retirement is more managed by your employer. Although you may have choices, they are often limited. Investing is more directed by you. In my opinion you need to do both as saving for retirement alone may not be enough to achieve financial independence.

Is 50 Too Old To Start Investing
Is 50 Years Too Old To Start Investing?

Saving for Retirement at 50 – Are You Too Old to Start Investing?

When you save for retirement, you are saving for when you do not have a regular W-2 from an employer or 1099 income as a contractor. Instead, you are taking your required minimum distribution from your retirement plan, which will most likely be a 401(k) plan and an Individual Retirement Account (IRA). Few of us have pensions. We won’t consider Social Security here, but you are also putting money away for that too. Your choices in a 401(k) plan are often limited by your employer. If you are lucky, you have a good plan with index or target date funds with low expenses.

Now the real question, can you start saving for retirement at 50 and still have enough to retire by 65. It is much tougher to achieve this, but even if you are putting away $3000 per year you can end up with over $100k. Let’s assume that you are earning $60k, you contribute 5% of that, your salary increases 2% annually, and your annualized rate of return is 7%, and you have $1,000 in your 401(k) to start with. We also assume that your employer match is 50% and ends at 3%. By the time you are 65 you will have a little over $117,000. You can bump this up a bit if you are frugal and can contribute 6% then you are at a little over $134,000 by age 65. I used the handy AARP 401(k) calculator for this. You can play around with the numbers for your own personal situation.

The reality is that that time and the power of compounding matters a lot when saving for retirement. If you start saving for retirement five years earlier at age 45 and you have a little over $196,000 at age 65. If you start 10 years earlier at age 40 then you have over $311,000 at age 65. You can play around more with the starting age, but it is clear that the earlier you start saving for retirement the better off you are. You can check the the net worth targets by age.

Investing at 50 Years – You Are Never Too Old To Start

On the other hand, 50 years is not too old to start investing. In many cases, you may be saving for retirement from a younger age, you already have an emergency fund, your student loans are paid off, and your mortgage may be half paid already. By this point in your life, you may have had some decent raises or job changes that resulted in nice salary jumps or you may be in a position that gives you an annual bonus. You may have extra cash that can be directed towards investing. As you are well aware, my personal favorite is dividend growth stocks.

Today, the cost of buying dividend growth stocks has been reduced almost to zero with no commissions. I remember paying $21.95 per trade in commissions when I first started buying stocks. But at $0 commissions you can buy smaller blocks of stocks much more easily without raising the cost basis.

So, for arguments sake, let’s say that you are buying $300 of stock per month starting at age 50. The stock share price is $50 with a dividend yield of 3%, the dividend grows by 4% per year, and the share price appreciates 5% annually. Your dividend tax rate is 15% and you reinvest the dividends that you receive. At age 65, you have a little over $103,000. The annualized rate of return is 6.14%, not great but we were very conservative in our assumptions. But the best part is that you are getting over $5,700 in dividends each year. I used the dividend calculator at MarketBeat for this.

Final Thoughts On Is 50 Years Too Old to Start Investing

Overall, I think the general path many people follow is to start saving for an emergency fund, then save for retirement, and then investing. There are advantages and a few risks of dividend growth investing that I have outlined previously. But the nice part is clear from the above examples. After 65 years, you are getting $5,700 in dividends, which is more than 4% of $103,000 if you follow the 4% rule. You also don’t need to draw down your principal unlike a retirement plan. Getting to the first $100,00 is the hardest but it snowballs after that as the power of compounding takes effect. So, the answer is no, 50 years old is not too old to start investing.


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Chart or Table of the Week

Stocks have bounced back and then some since the near-term low in early-March 2021. Many stocks that were punished from 2019 to 2020 are doing well. Tech stocks have declined but coming down from a P/E ratio of ~100 to ~70 does not make them undervalued. However, there are still stocks to find. Today I highlight 3M Company (MMM), which I am long and have written about extensively in the past. The company is one of the largest industrial conglomerates in the U.S. with a market capitalization of over $111 billion and sales of over $32 billion in 2020. 3M has well-known brands including Post-it, Filtrete, Command, Scotch, Nexcare, Ace, Scotch-Brite, and others. The stock is yielding about 3.1% and the payout ratio is OK at about 62%. 3M is well known as a Dividend King with 62 years of consecutive annual dividend growth. The screenshot below is from Stock Rover*.

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Source: Stock Rover*

Dividend Increases and Reinstatements

Globe Life (GL) hiked the dividend by 5.3% to $0.1975 from $0.1875 per share quarterly. The forward yield is 0.8%. This is the 15th consecutive annual increase. Globe Life is a Dividend Contender.

Hingham Institution for Savings (HIFS) raised the dividend 4.3% to $0.49 from $0.47 per share quarterly. The forward yield is 0.7%. This is the 10th yearly increase in a row. Hingham is a Dividend Contender.

Bank OZK (OZK) increased the dividend 0.9% to $0.28 from $0.2775 per share quarterly. This forward yield is 2.75%. This is the 25th straight annual increase. Bank OZK is a Dividend Champion.

Dividend Cuts and Suspensions List

I updated my dividend cuts and suspensions list at end of March. The number of companies on the list has risen to 518. We are well over 10% of companies that pay dividends having cut or suspended them since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic.

There were no new companies to add to the list this past month (March 2020).

Market Indices – Is 50 Too Old to Start Investing?

Dow Jones Industrial Averages (DJIA): 33,153 (+0.24%)

NASDAQ: 13,480 (+2.60%)

S&P 500: 4,019 (+1.14%)

Market Valuation

The S&P 500 is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 40.9X and the Schiller P/E Ratio is at about 36.2X. These two metrics up in the past week. Note that the long-term means of these two ratios are 15.9X and 16.8X, respectively. 

I continue to believe that the market is overvalued at this point. I personally view anything over 30X as overvalued based on historical data. Note that we are near 40X and valuation levels near the top of the dot-com era.

S&P 500 PE Ratio

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Shiller PE Ratio

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Stock Market Volatility – CBOE VIX

The CBOE VIX measuring volatility was down one this past week to 17.33. The long-term average is approximately 19 to 20. The first time since the pandemic started that the CBOE VIX went below the long-term average was last week.

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Source: Google

Fear & Greed Index

I also track the Fear & Greed Index. The index is now in Neutral at a value of 58. This is up 6 points this past week.

There are seven indicators in the index. They are Put and Call Options, Junk Bond Demand, Market Momentum, Market Volatility, Stock Price Strength, Stock Price Breadth, and Safe Haven Demand.

Junk Bond Demand is indicating Extreme Greed. Investors are accepting 2.00% yield over investment grade corporate bonds. The spread is down further from recent levels indicating that investors are taking on more risk.

Safe Haven Demand is in Extreme Greed. Stocks have outperformed bonds by 7.76% over the past 20 trading days. This is close to the strongest performance over the past 2-years as investor rotoate back into stocks after a period of weakness.

Market Momentum is indicating Greed. The S&P 500 is 8.31% over its 125-day average. This is above the average over the past 2-years. Investors are rotating into stocks.

Market Volatility is set at Neutral. The CBOE VIX reading of 17.33 is a neutral reading.

Stock Price Strength is signaling Fear. The number of stocks hitting 52-week highs compared to those hitting 52-week lows is at the upper end of its range.

Put and Call Options are signaling Fear. In the last five trading days, put option volume has lagged call option volume by 52.54%. This is amongst the highest level of put buying in the past two years.

Stock Price Breadth is indicating Extreme Fear as advancing volume is 4.97% more than declining volume on the NYSE. This is at the lower end of its range over the past two years and the indicator is rising.

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Source: CNN Business

Economic News

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index increased to 109.7 (1985=100) in March, up significantly over February’s 90.4 reading. The reading marked the third consecutive monthly increase, and it is now at its highest level since March 2020. The percentage of consumers expecting business conditions to improve over the next six months rose to 40.8%, while those expecting business conditions to worsen declined to 11.0%. The survey showed consumer optimism about the labor market with more saying jobs were “plentiful” than “hard to get”, with 36.1% expecting greater job availability in the next six months and 13.4% anticipating fewer jobs.

The Energy Information Administration report for the week of March 26th showed U.S. crude inventories (excluding those in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve) decreased by .9 million barrels to 501.8 million barrels. Crude oil inventories are running at a level 6% higher than the five-year average for this time of year. Refineries were operated at 83.9% of their operable capacity. Gasoline inventories dropped by 1.7 million barrels and are about 4% below the five-year average for this time of year.

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that employers added some 916,000 nonfarm jobs in March, as the unemployment rate slipped to 6.0% from 6.2% in February. This is the best jobs report in seven months, showing optimism as the U.S. starts to climb out of the pandemic. Job growth was widespread, led by gains in leisure and hospitality (+280,000), public and private education (+190,000), construction (+110,000), professional and business services (+66,000), and manufacturing (+53,000).  In addition, February’s already strong employment figures were revised (+89,000) to a 468,000 gain, and January was revised (+67,000) to 233,000. The US economy is tracking at 8.4 million fewer jobs now than it did pre-pandemic.

Thanks for reading Is 50 Years Too Old to Start Investing – Dividend Power Week in Review!

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Prakash Kolli is the founder of the Dividend Power site. He is a self-taught investor, analyst, and writer on dividend growth stocks and financial independence. His writings can be found on Seeking Alpha, InvestorPlace, Business Insider, Nasdaq, TalkMarkets, ValueWalk, The Money Show, Forbes, Yahoo Finance, and leading financial sites. In addition, he is part of the Portfolio Insight and Sure Dividend teams. He was recently in the top 1.0% and 100 (73 out of over 13,450) financial bloggers, as tracked by TipRanks (an independent analyst tracking site) for his articles on Seeking Alpha.

2 thoughts on “Is 50 Too Old To Start Investing – Dividend Power Week In Review

  1. Great advice. I believe it is all too common for people at 50 who haven’t saved it invested much to just throw up their hands and believe it is too late too matter. They still have time to make a huge difference in quality of later life. Just having five or ten thousand dollars of discretionary income in retirement could make the difference in feeling poor and stressed or having just enough luxuries to have a happy retirement. Just some wiggle room in life is huge, good on you!

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